Isko Moreno preferred by majority in Manila mayoral race – surveys

Polls conducted from July 2024 to March 2025 track month-to-month shifts in voter preference, with Isko Moreno maintaining the top spot throughout the period.

MANILA, Philippines — Data from the country’s three largest polling organizations — OCTA Research, Laylo Research Strategies, and Social Weather Stations (SWS) — consistently show former Manila Mayor Isko Moreno leading the 2025 mayoral race.

Polls conducted from July 2024 to March 2025 track month-to-month shifts in voter preference, with Moreno maintaining the top spot throughout the period.

According to OCTA Research, Moreno began with 74% support in its July 2024 survey. He registered the same percentage in January 2025. Honey Lacuna started with 6% in July, then rose to 9% in January. Sam Verzosa appeared in the January 2025 survey with 15%.

In the October 2024 survey conducted by Laylo Research Strategies, Moreno recorded his highest rating at 83%. Lacuna followed with 13.3%, while Verzosa had 3.7%. By December 2024, Laylo recorded Verzosa rising to 17%, with Lacuna at 13%.

Social Weather Stations (SWS) released its data in December 2024, showing Moreno at 70%, Verzosa at 17%, and Lacuna at 11%.

In the latest surveys conducted in March 2025, Moreno holds 67%, followed by Verzosa at 16% and Lacuna at 15%. The remaining 2% is shared among other candidates.

With 28 days remaining before the May 12, 2025 elections, the latest polling data reflect Moreno’s continued lead, while Verzosa and Lacuna remain close in the contest for second place.